Risks don’t disappear just because you ignore them. They only become more dangerous. – Nassim Nicholas Taleb At its core, economic policy represents the strategic management of risk. Every programme faces inherent tensions, and each stabilisation plan necessitates a set of decisions that favor specific objectives while sacrificing others. Every government determines the risks it … Read more
President Javier Milei is intensifying his defense of Argentina’s currency in anticipation of another substantial local debt auction, exacerbating the strain on the banking system and the wider economy as he combats inflation. The government is conducting an auction on Wednesday for peso notes and dollar-linked securities, marking the second such event in a fortnight. … Read more
Argentina’s peso exhibited a notable appreciation on Thursday following the announcement by authorities regarding an increase in reserve requirements for banks. This move is aimed at bolstering the currency in the wake of a significant local debt auction that did not meet market expectations. The central bank has raised reserve requirements by five percentage points … Read more
President Javier Milei’s economic programme is fundamentally anchored in the expectation that Argentina will significantly enhance its export capacity in the years ahead. However, projections tend to perform more effectively in theory than in practice. It is not uncommon for a nation, such as Argentina, to focus solely on its internal affairs, seemingly oblivious to … Read more
Argentina’s local debt auction on Wednesday did not meet market expectations, as President Javier Milei’s administration managed to roll over only 61 percent of maturities in a crucial auction. Analysts suggest that this outcome may lead to a depreciation of the peso. The Treasury executed a rollover of 9.1 trillion pesos from the 15 trillion … Read more
A sharp rise in borrowing costs comes as the government prepares for a peso debt auction Wednesday to roll over US$17.4 billion in maturities, or a third of the economy’s money. On Monday, yields on the Argentine government’s short-term notes reached unprecedented levels, occurring merely two days prior to an auction by the Treasury that … Read more
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has announced that it has reached a staff-level agreement with the Argentine government regarding the first review of the program established in April. The lender’s board is scheduled to convene in late July to provide final approval for the review, a decision that would facilitate a US$2 billion disbursement. Just … Read more
The International Monetary Fund plans to engage in discussions regarding the initial review of Argentina’s US$20-billion programme during an informal meeting between its staff and executive board on Tuesday, as reported by a source with knowledge of the situation. The meeting is anticipated to occur in Washington on Tuesday morning, according to an individual who … Read more
On Thursday, Moody’s elevated Argentina’s long-term debt rating by two notches, moving it from Caa3 to Caa1. However, it continues to reside within the speculative category, as indicated by the risk rating agency’s statement. The agency referenced macroeconomic reforms that have contributed to a reduction in inflation and a resurgence in growth as the basis … Read more
The rise in credit card defaults observed in Argentina during April, which persisted through May and June, raises concerns regarding sustained consumer spending in the forthcoming months and may also have implications for the financial sector’s market performance. The consulting firm Labor, Capital and Growth (LCG) highlights in its latest report that the issue, as … Read more