Risks don’t disappear just because you ignore them. They only become more dangerous. – Nassim Nicholas Taleb At its core, economic policy represents the strategic management of risk. Every programme faces inherent tensions, and each stabilisation plan necessitates a set of decisions that favor specific objectives while sacrificing others. Every government determines the risks it … Read more
President Javier Milei is intensifying his defense of Argentina’s currency in anticipation of another substantial local debt auction, exacerbating the strain on the banking system and the wider economy as he combats inflation. The government is conducting an auction on Wednesday for peso notes and dollar-linked securities, marking the second such event in a fortnight. … Read more
Argentine authorities audit investor behavior in repo loans, short-term financial securities with record-high interest rates due to bank liquidity shortages. The Central Bank and local regulator CNV have sought assistance in analyzing the real-time data they receive daily from the country’s two primary exchanges, BYMA and A3, regarding the short-term instruments referred to locally as … Read more
In response to the bribery allegations involving a close associate, President Javier Milei’s senior officials are taking measures to mitigate the repercussions, which are impacting Argentina’s dollar bonds. This situation is exacerbated by a liquidity crisis that has led to a significant increase in interest rates. Argentina’s dollar bonds are being weighed down by bribery … Read more
A “dollarized” Argentina is doing well and a “pesofied” Argentina is struggling. Once the enthusiasm about inflation reduction subsides, Argentines will measure the Javier Milei administration depending on where in the social food chain they land. This will be measured by a simple variable: their standards of living vis-à-vis the past and their fellow countrymen. While it … Read more
Newly imposed liquidity measures aimed at containing a nascent peso sell-off have stoked tensions between President Javier Milei and the country’s banks, a sector that was largely aligned with his policy goals but now sees its profitability under threat. Bankers argue that the new provisions, which require institutions to hit reserve requirements on a daily … Read more
Investors are increasingly allocating capital to Argentina’s local markets, capitalizing on the significant depreciation of the peso and the decline in domestic bonds to enhance their exposure to the nation’s assets. Vontobel Asset Management has engaged in the acquisition of Boncer bonds, which are inflation-linked notes issued by the government. Meanwhile, Neuberger Berman has taken … Read more
Argentina’s government blames local banks, big industry, and the establishment for the third currency run of its administration. Milei sees it as a political attack on his economic plan. Heidentifies his scapegoats for the turbulent conditions affecting monetary markets at the end of the month. In addition to the well-known “Kukas” (which are relatively straightforward … Read more
Argentina’s peso exhibited a notable appreciation on Thursday following the announcement by authorities regarding an increase in reserve requirements for banks. This move is aimed at bolstering the currency in the wake of a significant local debt auction that did not meet market expectations. The central bank has raised reserve requirements by five percentage points … Read more
Javier Milei’s reforms have introduced a degree of stability to Argentina’s previously tumultuous foreign exchange market, garnering commendations from investors. However, the overhaul is simultaneously driving the most significant wave of corporate defaults observed since the pandemic. Local borrowing costs are experiencing a significant increase, particularly impacting companies that rely heavily on the peso. Many … Read more