The Milei administration has been asserting for several months that the purchasing power of Argentines is on the mend following the significant fiscal adjustment of 2024 — even going so far as to claim it has already exceeded the levels observed during Alberto Fernández’s presidency. That assertion relies on a particular metric: the registered private-sector … Read more
President Javier Milei has successfully reduced inflation and poverty levels in Argentina, while also eradicating the budget deficit. However, the nation’s labour market remains entrenched in the crisis that he was elected to address. For a second consecutive year, the South American economy is experiencing growth; however, there is a decline in employment within the … Read more
The Milei administration successfully achieved a fiscal surplus in July, a defining characteristic of its economic strategy. The primary fiscal surplus in the first seven months of 2026 stood at 0.9% of GDP. Overall budget surplus, which includes debt interest payments, was recorded at 0.1% of GDP. “The fiscal surplus, which contributes to macroeconomic stability, … Read more
Three years into Javier Milei’s presidency, a significant portion of the Argentine economy continues to lag behind the levels of activity and consumption observed prior to his arrival at the Casa Rosada, a situation that appears to be causing concern within the economic team. Even so, the government has consistently rejected the notion of the … Read more
In mid-July, JPMorgan’s EMBI+ index for Argentina, which indicates the interest rate Argentina would incur for foreign borrowing, reached 402 basis points, marking its lowest point since April 2018. As time progressed, the likelihood of surpassing the 400-point threshold steadily diminished. Although the economic team did not explicitly aim for the JPMorgan index to dip … Read more
President Javier Milei’s administration is beginning to transition from an exclusive emphasis on combating inflation to a more nuanced approach, as growth, employment, and his approval ratings face challenges in gaining momentum. Argentina’s Central Bank permitted the currency to depreciate over the past three months, while the nation’s Treasury is facilitating increased liquidity in the … Read more
Argentina’s economy is at an unusual juncture. In contrast to numerous previous periods in the nation’s recent past, the fluctuations of the U.S. dollar — historically the primary focus of economic discourse — have shifted away from being the focal point of current discussions. Inflation is not either. Although it remains elevated relative to the … Read more
Industrial activity demonstrated notable enhancement in June. Data from the statistics institute INDEC, released on Friday, indicates that the sector experienced a month-over-month growth of 0.9%, marking the second consecutive monthly increase, and a year-over-year growth of 2%. The most significant monthly increase was observed in oil refining, chemicals, rubber, and plastic products at 4.4%. … Read more
Credit served as the primary catalyst for the increase in consumption that Argentina experienced in late 2024 and early 2025. However, beginning in the previous year, that trend experienced a gradual deceleration and ultimately reversed, influenced by fluctuating interest rates and a significant increase in household defaults. Since then, Javier Milei’s government has not experienced … Read more
Argentina’s primary ports are currently immobilised, with over 150 vessels trapped in the nation’s waterways. This disruption follows a strike initiated by harbour pilots and river guides on Saturday, in response to a decree from President Javier Milei that seeks to deregulate their profession. Harbour pilots, maritime pilots, and river guides operate as independent professionals, … Read more
