Having depleted billions of dollars in reserves, Argentina’s government is employing innovative strategies to safeguard the peso in anticipation of significant midterm elections later this month. The Central Bank expended US$1.1 billion in the spot market last month as the currency exceeded its trading band and is now approaching a limit set by Argentina’s primary … Read more
Investors in Argentina are raising their expectations that President Javier Milei will implement a devaluation of the peso following the midterm elections this month, as the government continues to exhaust its reserves to support the struggling currency. The Treasury took action for the seventh consecutive session on Wednesday. It had already sold an estimated US$1.5 … Read more
The World Bank has revised its 2025 growth forecast for Argentina downward by nearly a percentage point to 4.6 percent, a figure that still exceeds projections from domestic analysts. In a report released on October 7 in Washington, the global institution indicated that the domestic economy is poised to be one of the top performers … Read more
Risks don’t disappear just because you ignore them. They only become more dangerous. – Nassim Nicholas Taleb At its core, economic policy represents the strategic management of risk. Every programme faces inherent tensions, and each stabilisation plan necessitates a set of decisions that favor specific objectives while sacrificing others. Every government determines the risks it … Read more
President Javier Milei is intensifying his defense of Argentina’s currency in anticipation of another substantial local debt auction, exacerbating the strain on the banking system and the wider economy as he combats inflation. The government is conducting an auction on Wednesday for peso notes and dollar-linked securities, marking the second such event in a fortnight. … Read more
Argentine markets exhibited volatility this week, influenced by a significant bribery scandal impacting the Milei administration and a newly introduced monetary policy that has been characterized by many as precarious. The EMBI, a gauge of country risk that assesses the probability of debt default, rose to 829 basis points on Tuesday — marking its peak … Read more
Argentine authorities audit investor behavior in repo loans, short-term financial securities with record-high interest rates due to bank liquidity shortages. The Central Bank and local regulator CNV have sought assistance in analyzing the real-time data they receive daily from the country’s two primary exchanges, BYMA and A3, regarding the short-term instruments referred to locally as … Read more
In June, Argentina’s economy experienced a contraction for the fourth consecutive month this year, occurring just prior to a significant increase in interest rates in July. This development represents a minor setback for President Javier Milei as the nation approaches midterm elections in October. Economic activity declined by 0.7 percent from May, falling short of … Read more
Investors are increasingly allocating capital to Argentina’s local markets, capitalizing on the significant depreciation of the peso and the decline in domestic bonds to enhance their exposure to the nation’s assets. Vontobel Asset Management has engaged in the acquisition of Boncer bonds, which are inflation-linked notes issued by the government. Meanwhile, Neuberger Berman has taken … Read more
Argentina’s peso exhibited a notable appreciation on Thursday following the announcement by authorities regarding an increase in reserve requirements for banks. This move is aimed at bolstering the currency in the wake of a significant local debt auction that did not meet market expectations. The central bank has raised reserve requirements by five percentage points … Read more